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UAE Petrol Market: Will Price Rise Again Amid US-Iran Tensions?

UAE Petrol Price Experiences Instability Amidst UAE-Iran Geopolitical Issues

Written By : Poulami Saha
Reviewed By : Sankha Ghosh

Petrol prices in the UAE could rise in March 2026, following a global price increase in February amid ongoing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran.

According to recent news, oil prices rose globally in February. This occurred due to rising tensions and fears surrounding the US-Iran military conflict. Currently, Brent oil has crossed $71 per barrel.

UAE Petrol Price Rate

So, what does the conflict mean for the common people, and how will it affect the oil price range? According to some analysts, if geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran continue to rise, oil prices could riseabove $100 per barrel. 

Brent was trading at $66.31, and WTI was priced at  $71.38 per barrel. The price rate is based on Tuesday (Feb 23, 2026) evening. The average Brent closing price was $68.9 per barrel in February. This was much higher compared to $63.47 in January. 

In February, the UAE reduced petrol prices. The prices were reduced by around eight and nine fils per litre. These included the following oil brands:

  • Super 98 was priced at  Dh2.45 per litre

  • Special 95 was priced at Dh2.33 per litre

  • E-Plus 91 was priced at Dh2.26 per litre 

US-Iran conflict dominates the oil market: What It Means For You

Looking ahead, Norbert Rücker, head of economics, said the US-Iran conflict is dominating the oil market. As a result, prices can rise due to the current geopolitical risk premium. 

He also mentioned that “A military clash seems inevitable, but such an escalation does not necessarily come hand-in-hand with oil supply disruption, as the past years have shown on multiple occasions.” He also believes that today’s oil market has sufficient supply. There is sufficient storage, excess output capacity, and production rates exceeding consumption.

Additionally, “While we are unsure whether the current bounce will top out in the high $70s or high $80s, we have more confidence in the view that the risk premium will wane and oil prices return to below $60 towards mid-year,” Julius Baer, head of economics, further mentioned.

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